Michael Snyder, on February 5th, 2017
When debt grows much faster than GDP for an extended period of time,
it is inevitable that a good portion of that debt will start to go bad
at some point. We witnessed a perfect example of this in 2008, and now
it is starting to happen again. Commercial bankruptcies have been
rising on a year-over-year basis since late 2015, and this is something
that I have written about previously, but now consumer bankruptcies are
also increasing. In fact, we have just witnessed U.S. consumer
bankruptcies do something that they haven’t done in nearly 7 years. The
following comes from Wolf Richter…
US bankruptcy filings by consumers rose 5.4% in January, compared to January last year, to 52,421 according to the American Bankruptcy Institute. In December, they’d already risen 4.5% from a year earlier. This was the first time that consumer bankruptcies increased back-to-back since 2010.
However, business bankruptcies began to surge in November 2015 and continued surging on a year-over-year basis in 2016, to reach a full-year total of 37,823 filings, up 26% from the prior year and the highest since 2014.
Of course consumer bankruptcies are still much lower than they were
during the last financial crisis, but what this could mean is that we
have reached a turning point.
For years, the Federal Reserve has been encouraging reckless
borrowing and spending by pushing interest rates to ultra-low levels.
Unfortunately, this created an absolutely enormous debt bubble, and now
that debt bubble is beginning to burst. Here is more from Wolf Richter… Read more
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