By Sid Verm,
August 23, 2017
HSBC Holdings Plc, Citigroup Inc. and Morgan Stanley see mounting
evidence that global markets are in the last stage of their rallies
before a downturn in the business cycle.
Analysts at the Wall Street behemoths cite signals including the breakdown of long-standing relationships
between stocks, bonds and commodities as well as investors ignoring
valuation fundamentals and data. It all means stock and credit markets
are at risk of a painful drop.
“Equities have become less
correlated with FX, FX has become less correlated with rates, and
everything has become less sensitive to oil,” Andrew Sheets, Morgan
Stanley’s chief cross-asset strategist, wrote in a note published
Tuesday.
His bank’s model shows assets across the world are the least
correlated in almost a decade, even after U.S. stocks joined high-yield
credit in a selloff triggered this month by President Donald Trump’s
political standoff with North Korea and racial violence in Virginia. More
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